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OPINION POLL REPORT 
Monday, April 15, 2002 

Get new Constitution before election 

Nearly three times as many respondents thought the General Election should be held under a detailed new Constitution than believed Kenya could go to the polls under the present Constitution.

The figures were 66.8 per cent in favour of elections under a new Constitution and only 23 per cent under the present set-up.

Nairobi led the shout for a new Constitution before the ballot with 85.1 per cent in favour and only 13.3 against). Next came Western with 74.3 per cent (17.1 against); Nyanza, 68.1 (22.8); Central, 66.8 (16.4); Coast 65.1 (31); Rift Valley (63.3 (25.6) and Eastern 63.1 (25.4). 

Only in North Eastern were the positions reversed, with a majority - 58.5 per cent - favouring an election under the present Constitution and the minority, 32.3 per cent, wanting the new Constitution first.

By gender, 69.2 per cent of men wanted the new Constitution first against 22.4 per cent who wanted the election first; and among women the pattern was the same with 64.3 per cent wanting to vote under the Constitution to be proposed by Prof Ghai and 23.6 per cent happy to vote first, then finish the reforms.

Those who wanted reform first, by age groups, were 21-30 year-olds (70.3 per cent); 31-40 - 68.4; 18-20 -67.3; 41-50 - 64.1; and 51 plus - 51.6. The elections-before-reform brigade saw rare unity across the generation gap, with them led by the 51 pluses (26.8 per cent) but immediately followed by the 18-20 year-olds (23.7). Next came the 41-50s - 23.1; 31--40 - 22.5; and 21-30 - 22.1.

People who wanted the new Constitution first showed education levels in inverse proportion to those who did not. In other words, the better educated the person, the more likely he or she was to want Ghai's reforms first.

In favour of reforms before the poll were graduates (76.4 per cent), people with secondary schooling (73.1), those who went only to primary school (57), and those with no formal education (42,8).

Most of those preferring the poll under the present Constitution were people who had not been to school at all (29.6 per cent), followed by those who had attended only primary school (27.3), secondary school (21.3), and university graduates (17.5).
 


 
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Write:Nation Elections Team